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02/19/2007 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - This week's Round of 16 Champions League slate offers up eight tasty matchups, with four featuring English League clubs. Much like a meal of fish and chips and warm beer, the first knockout round has a distinctly British flavor to it.
Tuesday's action features a pair of European heavyweights, Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, who have struggled in league play just to get a win in recent weeks. Premiership giants Manchester United and Arsenal both hit the road in the opening leg of their respective matchups, with the Red Devils traveling to meet French club Lille, while the Gunners visit Holland to battle Eredivisie leaders PSV. Celtic Park will be the venue for the Hoops showdown with AC Milan.
Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid
This is a matchup of two struggling titans who have failed to live up to expectations this season. Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will host the first leg of this clash, a place where the home team has won just five times in 11 matches during league play. The nine-time European champions are in desperate need of some scoring punch, producing just one goal in its last four home contests. Despite the departure of Ronaldo, Madrid certainly have no shortage of men who can put the ball in the net. With Raul, Ruud van Nistelrooy and Robinho all strike options for manager Fabio Capello, Real have the talent to give them the shot in the arm they so desperately need. Madrid currently sit fourth in the La Liga table and are coming off of a disappointing 0-0 draw with Real Betis on Saturday. If there is team left in this competition who enters the knockout round with even less momentum than Madrid, it has to be Bayern Munich. Bayern has slipped into fourth place in Bundesliga table, 12 points behind league-leaders Schalke. The German giants will now be fighting for the remainder of the season to qualify for the Champions League next year, but have a chance to make an impact on this year's competition. New manager Ottmar Hitzfeld, who replaced the fired Felix Magath on January 31, has guided Bayern to the Champions League crown once before, but it will take an even bigger effort to do so this season. Bayern have a nice mix of youth and experience on its roster, with emerging young German internationals Philipp Lahm, Bastian Schweinsteiger and Lukas Podolski. Veteran Oliver Kahn still provides a solid presence between the posts, and Roy Makaay and Claudio Pizarro have combined for 17 goals this season up top for Munich. The return of midfielder Owen Hargreaves from a broken leg a month ago should provide a nice boost in the center of the field, but this matchup hinges on which team can regain its good form.
Manchester United vs. Lille
United is the clear favorite in this one, with a big edge in overall talent level. However, Lille could prove to be a tricky opponent that gives United trouble. The Red Devils failed to advance past the group stage in last year's Champions League, due in part to a 1-0 loss and 0-0 draw against Lille. The French club is lead by midfielder Mathieu Bodmer, who leads the team with eight goals. Striker Peter Odemwingie gives the team a playmaker up top and keeper Tony Sylva is a strong option between the posts. Lille is not an explosive offensive team, and will need its defense to keep it in the game. That is easier said than done, however, as United have a formidable strike force of Wayne Rooney, Louis Saha and Henrik Larsson that will give any back line trouble. The task of controlling that dangerous trio falls to defenders Gregory Tafforeau and Mathieu Chalme. In addition to a strong attack, United has a big edge on the outside with dazzling midfielder Cristiano Ronaldo and steady veteran Ryan Giggs. The back line features standouts Rio Ferdinand, Gary Neville and Nemanja Vidic, who have proved tough to crack in front of keeper Edwin Van der Sar. Despite the gap in talent, this one will be closer than expected, with United working to hold its lead in the Premiership as well as FA Cup duties. The Red Devils are not the deepest team in the world, and with a busy schedule ahead of them, Lille could catch them at the right time.
Arsenal vs. PSV
Arsenal and PSV has the potential to be the most entertaining affair of the round. Both teams employ an attacking style with plenty of players who are capable of hitting the net. Arsenal is looking to duplicate the success it had in last year's competition, when the Gunners advanced all the way to the final before falling to Barcelona. PSV is a team that has consistently shown the ability to make it into the knockout round, but has always come up short in the big matches. PSV owns a five-point edge atop the Dutch Eredivisie standings, but the club has won just one of its last four games, and appears to have slowed down a bit. Despite the lack of wins in league play of late, the Eindhoven club is a very live opponent who will test Arsenal at every turn. PSV does have enough firepower to combat Arsenal's aggressive style, as Jefferson Farfan and Arouna Kone have combined to score 23 goals in league play for the squad this season. Midfielder Philip Cocu will also be looked to for offensive inspiration, but that trio will have a hard time matching the creativity and individual skill of Arsenal's Thierry Henry, Francesc Fabregas and Emmanuel Adebayor. PSV are capable of hanging with Arsenal for a while, and the first leg at home will be very important for them before making the trip to London. In the end, PSV will put up a good fight, but they are just a little outgunned.
AC Milan vs. Celtic
Celtic is making its first appearance in the Round of 16, and has a chance to make a great impression in the first leg at Celtic Park against AC Milan. While Celtic is new to the knockout round experience, AC Milan has been here plenty of times before. The Rossoneri has enjoyed much success in this competition in recent years, including finals appearances in 2003, where they beat Juventus, and 2005, where they were beaten by Liverpool. The match-fixing scandal from last season has robbed AC Milan of any chance to win Serie A this season, but the club will be plenty ready for another deep run in the Champions League this season. After starting league play in less than impressive fashion, Milan has won six of its last seven games and is hitting its stride at just the right time. Ronaldo, acquired from Real Madrid during the January transfer window, scored twice in the club's victory against Siena over the weekend, and has produced plenty of brilliance in the competition over the years. He will have plenty of help in carrying the scoring load as leading-scorer Alberto Gilardino will join him, along with fellow Brazilian Kaka adding scoring punch from the midfield. Celtic have been in great form in dominating the Scottish Premier League this season, but the Hoops are taking a big step up in class against Milan. The first leg will be critical for Celtic because the team has not faired well away from home, and the return leg at the San Siro will be a tall task. If Celtic can take a lead into the second leg they will have a chance, but anything less than a win in the first leg spells trouble.
Wednesday's action features a contest between the last two Champions League winners, 2005 champions Liverpool and last year's winners Barcelona. Serie A leaders Inter Milan face a tough Valencia team, French power Lyon meet Roma and Chelsea takes on 2004 champions FC Porto.
Liverpool vs. Barcelona
This was the most anticipated matchup when the draw was released, but it has lost a little bit of its luster since that time. Liverpool started 2007 on a low note, with a pair of losses to Arsenal in domestic cup competitions. Those losses may prove to be a blessing, however, giving Liverpool 11 days between its last match and Wednesday's first leg at Estadio Camp Nou. Barcelona, meanwhile, is coming off of a tough 2-1 defeat to Valencia on Sunday, and faces a much more difficult turnaround. Barca must also deal with internal problems, chief amongst them the unhappiness of striker Samuel Eto'o. The Cameroon international figured to provide a nice boost up front for the Catalan side if he could return to fitness after a four-month absence because of injury. However, after coming on as a substitute for five minutes three weeks ago, Eto'o has not stepped onto the pitch since. He stayed home for the Valencia trip, saying he needed to work on his conditioning, but reports have indicated a possible rift between the striker and coach Frank Rijkaard. A healthy Eto'o would have given the Liverpool defense problems, but the Reds appear to be let off the hook. Barca has also not looked like a dominant side all season, squandering numerous chances to pull away in La Liga. They are currently even on points with Sevilla, and will have a battle the rest of the way to hold on to their title. This is a Barcelona team that is there for the taking, and Liverpool appears to be a side that is capable of doing it. Liverpool's attack featuring strikers Peter Crouch and Dirk Kuyt, along with midfielder Steven Gerrard, will prove a handful, and the back line is strong enough to carry the Reds to the quarterfinals. This matchup will depend on whether or not Barcelona can put together a complete effort. If Ronaldinho is at his brilliant best and Deco is in a playmaking mood, Barca are a tough team for anybody to beat, the only problem is that we are still waiting for that complete effort to come together.
Inter Milan vs. Valencia
There is no hotter team in all of Europe than Inter Milan. The Italian side is unbeaten in 23 league matches this season, including 16-straight wins. The only time that Inter has struggled all season came in Champions League group play, when they dropped their first two games, before going unbeaten over the last four games to qualify for the knockout round. Valencia is hoping that some of that trouble will creep into the Inter side on Wednesday, as the Spanish outfit visit the San Siro. Valencia has been an up-and-down team all season, but will try to take the momentum it grabbed from Sunday's 2-1 defeat of Barcelona into the knockout round. The Inter defense has been very good this season, allowing just 17 goals in 23 matches in Serie A, but Valencia has a 1-2 punch of David Villa and Fernando Morientes that could give Inter some problems. The duo has combined for 19 goals this season, and will get help from midfielder Vicente, who has emerged as a nice complement. Valencia will need to find the net often if they are to get past Inter, who have to be considered one of the favorites to hoist the trophy in May. Part of the reason for that is an equally impressive offense led by striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic. The Swede has pumped home 10 goals this season, and will team with either Hernan Crespo or Adriano up top. Both teams are capable of scoring goals, but Inter has been the more consistent club throughout the season, and is more likely to produce two quality efforts.
Chelsea vs. FC Porto
Chelsea boss Jose Mourinho will no doubt be have flashbacks on Wednesday when he visits Estadio do Dragao to meet FC Porto. Mourinho guided the Portuguese club to the 2004 Champions League title, something that has eluded him in his time at Chelsea. For all the good things Mourinho has done in his two years at Stamford Bridge, he has failed to deliver an appearance in the finals. With such a high-priced roster filled with stars, anything less is looked at as failure. That will prove to be a tough task this season with the injuries that the Blues have had to endure and the fact that they are still trying to chase down Manchester United in the Premiership standings. Chelsea has won its last six games with make-shift lineups, and Mourinho is starting to get back some of his injured stars. Defender John Terry is back healthy after back and calf issues, while keeper Petr Cech is also back between the posts after a head injury. Striker Didier Drogba has been simply dominant this season, but the key to a Chelsea title run could hinge on his strike partner. Mourinho has played both Salomon Kalou and much-maligned Andriy Shevchenko alongside Drogba with mixed results. Shevchenko has been a prolific goal scorer in years past, and if he can somehow regain that form, Chelsea will be a force. FC Porto will be looking for some of the magic they used to capture the 2004 crown, and need to look no further than striker Helder Postiga for that support. The Portuguese sniper will carry much of the scoring load on his shoulders, and will be the number one target of the Chelsea defense. If the Blues can shut down Postiga, they will stand a very good chance of moving on. Porto's back line has conceded just 10 goals in 18 games in league play this season, but has not seen anything like Drogba yet.
Lyon vs. Roma
Lyon are a club that has always been a bridesmaid and never a bride. They have dominated Ligue 1 for the past four seasons, but they have been unable to translate that success to the Champions League. The French power has been consistently knocked out in the quarterfinal and semifinal round, never quite reaching the final. This season doesn't look to be much different. After destroying the French league in the first couple months of the season, Lyon has taken its foot off the gas pedal. The club has won its last two games, but went four games prior without a win. They have not resembled the juggernaut from earlier this season, but maybe they need the competition of the Champions League to keep themselves interested. Lyon do boast a balanced attack with Fred, Juninho and Florent Malouda, while also maintaining a strong defensive record in league play. However, they just seem to lack that extra something to vault them into elite status. Lucky for them that their opponents, Roma, also cannot claim to be a favorite in the competition. The Italian side do have the high-flying Francesco Totti, but they do not have enough help for him to move on. Lyon figure to do enough to get past this round, which they usually do, but after that, all bets are off.
<< Davydenko, Djokovic win Rotterdam openers
Rotterdam, Netherlands (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top-seeded Russian Nikolay
Davydenko and fifth-seeded Serbian Novak Djokovic were among Monday's first-
round winners at the $1 million ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament.
The world No. 3
<< Schnyder wins Dubai opener
Dubai, United Arab Emirates (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sixth-seeded Swiss Patty
Schnyder highlighted Monday's first-round winners at the $1.5 million Dubai
Duty Free Women's Open.
Schnyder snuck past Italian Francesca Schiavone 6-7 (5-7)
<< Webb moves to second in Rolex Rankings
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Karrie Webb finished third on Saturday at
the season-opening SBS Open at Turtle Bay and, in the process, moved to second
in this week's Rolex Women's World Golf Rankings.
Annika Sorenstam, who has yet t
<< This Week in Golf - February 21st through February 25th
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - WORLD GOLF CHAMPIONSHIPS -
WGC-ACCENTURE MATCH PLAY CHAMPIONSHIP, The Gallery Golf Club at Dove Mountain,
Tucson, Arizona - Four months before he escaped the carnage a winner at Winged
Foot, Geoff Ogilvy ne
Golf Course Review - Ocean Hammock Golf Club >>
Palm Coast, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FACTS & STATS: Course Architect: Jack
Nicklaus. Year Opened: 2000. Location: Palm Coast, Florida. Slope: 147.
Rating: 77.0. Par: 72. Yardage: 7,201.
Hole-by-Hole:
1 - Par 4 380 Yds 10 - Par 5 522 Yds
Loit wins first-rounder in Bogota >>
Bogota, Colombia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Fourth-seeded Frenchwoman Emilie Loit was
among Monday's first-round winners at the $175,000 Copa Colsanitas Santander
tennis tournament.
Loit leveled Spaniard Arantxa Parra Santonja 6-2, 6-1 on the re
Kotalik out 4-to-6 weeks >>
Buffalo, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Buffalo Sabres forward Ales Kotalik is expected
to be sidelined the next 4-to-6 weeks due to a right knee injury.
Kotalik suffered the injury in Saturday night's shootout loss to Boston. He
has 14 goals an
Teuflesberg posts upset victory in Southwest Stakes >>
Hot Springs, AR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Five weeks after finishing a distant third
to Hard Spun at the Fair Grounds, 23-1 longshot Teuflesberg registered a major
upset on Presidents' Day over the Kentucky Derby hopeful. Teuflesberg went
wire to
MySportsbook.com and Kentucky Derby Offer Bonuses
The 2008 Kentucky Derby has announced a $1-million bonus for this weekend’s 134th ‘Run for the Roses’ and MySportsbook.com is doing the same.
Well, not quite $1 million, but MySportsbook.com is offering a 75% rebate for Kentucky Derby lines. Check out the exclusive horse racing bonus for all the details.
According to MySportsbook.com, the favorites for Saturday’s Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky are: Curlin (+250); Street Sense (+500); Scat Daddy (+700); Circular Quay (+750); and Nobiz Like Shobiz (+800).
Derby organizers announced this week that there will be a $1-million bonus at the 2007 Kentucky Derby odds if the first-place horse wins by more than 6 1/2 lengths – the margin of Barbaro's victory last year. The bonus would be divided Saturday among the winning trainer, jockey, owner and a charity, with each receiving 25 percent. The designated charity is the Barbaro Memorial Fund.
''It's certainly creative, it's certainly fun and it has something for the horsemen, which we always want to embrace,'' Churchill Downs president and chief executive Robert Evans said at a news conference. ''What's really cool is it will force us to remember Barbaro.''
Meanwhile, the Derby favorite – Curlin – is going against the odds this year. It's been 125 years since Apollo won after skipping his 2-year-old season, and not since Regret in 1915 has such a lightly seasoned horse worn the blanket of red roses.
Arkansas Derby winner Curlin – unbeaten in three career races – tries to overcome both those obstacles in Saturday's 133rd Derby.
''We're not running against history,'' trainer Steve Asmussen said Monday. ''We're running against who they load up.''
Six other horses have run in the Derby without benefit of 2-year-old races and with three or fewer starts. The best any of them managed was a sixth-place finish by Showing Up last year.
Asmussen dismissed suggestions that Curlin's lack of racing experience could keep him from the winner's circle.
”He exudes confidence and he's got a great presence about him,'' the trainer said. ''I feel great about the position we're in. He's not worried about anything, why should you be?''
The Kentucky Derby is at 4:04 p.m., ET Saturday.
For complete odds on the Kentucky Derby, visit MySportsbook.com. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
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